Danish Prof. Says Forget Cap And Trade, Spend The Money On Research Instead.
Bjorn Lomborg, an adjunct professor at the Copenhagen Consensus Center, argues that spending money on alternative energy research will have better results and less cost than schemes to make fossil fuel use expensive, such as Cap and Trade. This comes from an article published in the Washington Post in June.
“The bitter arguments in the Senate this month over the Lieberman-Warner climate change bill, which would have required major emitters to pay for the right to discharge greenhouse gases, proved that climate change caused by humans has come to the fore of U.S. policy debates. This fact may comfort those who believe that future generations will judge us on the zeal with which we face the challenge. It may even assuage the fears of those who believe that warming will end life as we know it. But political rhetoric is unlikely to put us on a path toward solving the problem of climate change in the best possible way.
Sen. Barbara Boxer (D-Calif.), a co-sponsor of the bill, has called it “the world’s most far-reaching program to fight global warming.” It is indeed policy on a grand scale. It would slow American economic growth by trillions of dollars over the next half-century. But in terms of temperature, the result will be negligible if China and India don’t also commit to reducing their emissions, and it will be only slightly more significant if they do. By itself, Lieberman-Warner would postpone the temperature increase projected for 2050 by about two years.
Politicians favor the cap-and-trade system because it is an indirect tax that disguises the true costs of reducing carbon emissions. It also gives lawmakers an opportunity to control the number and distribution of emissions allowances, and the flow of billions of dollars of subsidies and sweeteners.
Many people believe that everyone has a moral obligation to ask how we can best combat climate change. Attempts to curb carbon emissions along the lines of the bill now pending are a poor answer compared with other options.
Consider that today, solar panels are one-tenth as efficient as the cheapest fossil fuels. Only the very wealthy can afford them. Many “green” approaches do little more than make rich people feel they are helping the planet. We can’t avoid climate change by forcing a few more inefficient solar panels onto rooftops.
The answer is to dramatically increase research and development so that solar panels become cheaper than fossil fuels sooner rather than later. Imagine if solar panels became cheaper than fossil fuels by 2050: We would have solved the problem of global warming, because switching to the environmentally friendly option wouldn’t be the preserve of rich Westerners.
This message was recently backed up by the findings of the Copenhagen Consensus project, which gathered eight of the world’s top economists — including five Nobel laureates — to examine research on the best ways to tackle 10 global challenges: air pollution, conflict, disease, global warming, hunger and malnutrition, lack of education, gender inequity, lack of water and sanitation, terrorism, and trade barriers.
These experts looked at the costs and benefits of different responses to each challenge. Their goal was to create a prioritized list showing how money could best be spent combating these problems.
The panel concluded that the least effective use of resources in slowing global warming would come from simply cutting carbon dioxide emissions.
Research for the project was done by a lead author of the report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change — the group that shared last year’s Nobel Peace Prize with former vice president Al Gore — who noted that spending $800 billion over 100 years solely on mitigating emissions would reduce inevitable temperature increases by just 0.4 degrees Fahrenheit by the end of this century. Even accounting for the key environmental damage from warming, we would lose money, with avoided damage of just $685 billion for our $800 billion investment.
The economists didn’t conclude that the world should ignore the effects of climate change. They pointed out that a better response than cutting emissions would be to dramatically increase research and development on low-carbon energy — such as solar panels and second-generation biofuels.
The United States has an opportunity to lead the world on research and development, which would give it the moral authority to demand that everyone else do the same. The world’s sole superpower could finally provide the leadership on climate change that has been lacking in the White House.
Even if every nation spent 0.05 percent of its gross domestic product on research and development of low-carbon energy, this would be only about one-tenth as costly as the Kyoto Protocol and would save dramatically more than any of Kyoto’s likely successors.
In the United States, this approach would open up new avenues for the nation’s creative, innovative spirit and leave behind the political mess of Kyoto-type negotiations.
A low-carbon energy, high-income future is possible. Unfortunately, the political battles we just witnessed in Washington have done nothing to make it a reality. ”
Beezer: One research study, of course. And based upon what’s normally done, either cap and trade or a direct carbon tax, a minority opinion. We are increasing our research and development funding for energy under Obama, but it appears Lomborg thinks we should do even more. Maybe we’ll do both.
Tags: Bjorn Lomborg, Cap and Trade, Energy Research and Development

August 31st, 2009 at 4:35 pm
Gobal warming may just be a cyclical phenomenon that has gone on throughout the ages and whether we agree on that or not we’re stuck with the idea we are creating it. That said, Lomborg is right in his ideas. Unfortunately like you said this cap and trade is nothing but another way to rob Americans of their hard earnings. Instituting this would be disasterous to not only our economy but the worlds. I’m not surprised that Barbara Boxer is one of the sponcers. If those who feal carbon emissions are so fearful why are they so against nuclear power? We have idiots like Gore who put fear into the minds of the masses. It’s people like him who will bring our and other nations down.At any rate it would be smart to do research in this area because we have a depleting source of fuels.
August 31st, 2009 at 9:20 pm
Interesting,
Well, it’s really cap and tax and all it will do is make it harder for the folks to pay their bills. You know the cost will just be passed along to us, no matter what the industry.
Do we need reforms? Yes. Do we need better regs on air quality? Can we accomplish it all this year? No. Thats the problem. King O wants EVERYTHING done right now.
It’s all but impossible……
Ec
August 31st, 2009 at 9:46 pm
This remains to be seen. Change is hard. Pay your bills.
September 1st, 2009 at 2:50 pm
He is losing the backing of the American public. There will be no cap and trade. If the dems. in the senate go along with it, it will be their last term.
September 2nd, 2009 at 7:47 am
The longer the debates progress, the more information will come forward. This is what will happen on Health Care, and on energy reformation too.
Once the nutjobs scream themselves out and most Americans are turned off by their antics, the facts will get considered fairly. Health Care is tough, certainly, but energy reformation is monumental. Our entire system is dependent on fossil fuels. Changing that substantially will take enourmous effort.
We’ve buried our heads in the sand for decades. Remember the gas lines when our oil supplies were disrupted when Carter was president in the 1970s? We did basically nothing for any length of time. The supplies came back on line, prices declined and we went back to our old ways.
This time, if think, the $4 gas price got the reality through to a majority of Americans. Some people say we’ll just go back once again as prices moderate. I don’t think so. Detroit is a shortage of fuel efficient cars and a corresponding backlog of orders. Even in a recession this severe when the total number of vehicles being sold is anemic.
March 5th, 2010 at 6:19 pm
A Treehugger report claims that solar panels may not be as environmentally-friendly as was initially thought given the potential for waste generated from the life-cycle of a solar panel. The article discusses the early development of a recycling plan as a plausible solution.
March 16th, 2010 at 2:45 am
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June 10th, 2010 at 2:35 pm
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