Wall Street star, Goldman Sachs, has announced a terrific second quarter with $3.44 billion in profits. It also announced that it’s setting aside $6.6 billion in expenses for salaries and bonuses, indicating that it intends to spend as much as necessary to retain and hire the best talent on the street. Are the golden days of Wall Street back?
Former Secretary of Labor for President Clinton, economics Prof. Robert Reich, has some pointed concerns.
“Should we breath a sigh of relief that Goldman Sachs has posted record earnings as revenue from trading and stock underwriting reached all-time highs (second quarter net income was $3.44 billion) — less than a year after the firm took $10 billion directly from taxpayers and $13 billion indirectly through AIG? In some ways, yes. That Goldman is back signals that the worst of Wall Street’s recent meltdown is over.
In some ways, yes. That Goldman is back signals that the worst of Wall Street’s recent meltdown is over. And at least New York City’s economy will again benefit from the trickle-down effects of the multi-million dollar bonuses of Goldman’s executives and traders. But in another respect, Goldman’s resurgence should send shivers down the backs of every hardworking American who has lost a large chunk of retirement savings in this economic debacle, as well as the millions who have lost their jobs. Why? Because Goldman’s high-risk business model hasn’t changed one bit from what it was before the implosion of Wall Street. Goldman is still wagering its capital and fueling giant bets with lots of borrowed money. While its rivals have pared back risks, Goldman has increased them. And its renewed success at this old game will only encourage other big banks to go back into it.”
Goldman has survived any way it can during the past year. It wasn’t that many months ago that Goldman was insolvent, along with almost all of the TBTF banks. The taxpayer saved their skins. But that story is over. What remains are the hangover(s) aka bills.
Our foundational problem is that we’ve forgotten that government, particularly in times of stress, can lead the way out. For the past 30 years we’ve bought into the idea that private corporations acting in the market will take care of all our problems. What nonsense.
Anyone who still believes that is either being paid to do so, or is in psychopathic denial. Even Greenspan doesn’t believe it anymore.
We have so many jobs to do it’s mind boggling. We need more direct action by government, not that which is indirect such as financial subsidies. We’ve laid off more than 100,000 skilled autoworkers. We need the government to issue RFPs to build base electric generating windmills which will put factory workers to work.
Housing contractors are on their backs. Where are the RFPs for solar installations, geothermal installations, weatherization installations?
Our train system is the worst of any industrialized country in the world. Where’s the RFPs for upgrading and expanding train tracks? Where are the RFPs for eliminating the day long bottleneck in train transport through Chicago, as just one example?
President Obama is trying to re-orient the nation back to some semblance of self-reliance, some sense of national, and community, goals. But he must overcome 30 years of institutionalized selfishness and self dealing.
People like Robert Reich understand that problem fully. And he will continue to, as he should given his position and background, remind the Obama administration of mis-steps while also urging the administration to pursue its best instincts. Of which there are, thankfully, many.
In truth the administration is attacking our problems on many fronts already. President Obama has earmarked billions each to Education ($12 billion just announced for Community Colleges), Alternative Energy, Transportation, Infrastructure, Main Street (business credit lines via the Small Business Administration), Research and Development and Universal Health Care. And that’s in addition to the $784 billion being spent through the recovery act to keep the nation from falling into Depression.
In unprecedented coordination with Treasury, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has backstopped not only Wall Street directly (a sore point with the public) but also many parts of the economy, such as the commercial paper markets for business and industry. The total commitments have been more than $2 trillion.
All these efforts combined have resulted in an estimated $1.8 trillion deficit for the 2009-2010 fiscal year. This deficit size is a concern to everyone. Republicans have used it as a cudgel against Obama’s efforts in total, claiming it will create inflationary problems in the future that will cause as much or more economic distress than that already experienced.
But $2 trillion in commitments isn’t the same thing as a loss of $2 trillion. These are real assets on the Fed balance sheet. As the economy does recover, they will be sold into the market. Just as with the Wall Street subsidies being paid back by some banks like Goldman Sachs (the taxpayer actually made money on these loans), not every dollar spent in this crisis is a lost dollar.
The stimulus money is just beginning to hit Main Street and state governments. Roads and bridges are being repaved and repaired. Public education teachers, not all but many, who were “pink slipped” by cash strapped communities are being re-hired. Many important infrastructure projects that take longer to organize and implement will employ labor and contract with private companies throughout 2010 and even into 2011.
President Obama has warned of the need to control health care costs and asserts that, more than any other single component of government spending, this component will bankrupt the nation the quickest if not dramatically changed. It’s a problem that ranks in importance right alongside recovery act spending.
Not since Franklin Roosevelt’s first Presidential term began in 1932 has a President faced so many problems at once. When Roosevelt took office the nation had already plunged into Depression. Unemployment was on its way to 24% and that average doesn’t do justice to what was happening to labor from New York to California. The nation’s Midwest “breadbasket” was on its way to becoming a Dust Bowl, compounding problems.
In some ways FDR had an easier job than Obama. With unemployment soaring to heights that demanded immediate action, FDR went straight into job creation and formed government agencies whose sole purpose was to hire the unemployed and put them to productive work. The result was an unprecented, and still unmatched, expansion of the nation’s infrastructure. These programs knocked more than 10% off the unemployment rates by themselves.
But in this global recession unemployment increases have been gradual. Employment nationally is still just above 90%, although it is much worse than that in some regions. If unemployment continues what looks to be a long curve upwards, at some point job creation will move up as a priority and, ironically, will free Obama to start turning out those Request for Proposals (RFPs) where direct government intervention will create jobs.
This is a fragile nation right now, despite Goldman’s banner quarter. It is likely that in the not too distant future, President Obama will have to take direct government action to hire the unemployed. Not just hand out unemployment compensation checks, but to create publicly financed and directed jobs.
When that happens, taxpayers are going to have to pay more. It’s that simple. FDR inherited a nation in Depression, but not in debt. He could begin to run deficits as well as hike tax revenue and did not face an entrenched philosophy that government can’t accomplish anything of worth. Humbled by the Depression and the misery it produced, Congress then did not have the luxury of making backroom deals aimed at subsidizing entrenched special interests.
Obama inherited a $5 trillion debt. He also inherited a tax system based upon the belief that tax cuts, even if they created deficits, would provide increased revenues and jobs. A belief that was wrong. Jobs have not been created. Revenues did not increase in real terms. Bills did not get paid as a result.
With all these problems to address and facing an unwieldy government and a Congress hobbled by special interest money and influence, in many ways President Obama’s challenges are more difficult than those Roosevelt faced.
It’s nice that Goldman Sachs is making money right now. But it’s time the government start investing directly in the nation so someone outside Wall Street makes money. That will take spending and it will take revenue. It’s time we got over the concept that we don’t have to pay for this, that somehow private corporations and tax cuts guarantee prosperity.